Endogenous indeterminacy and volatility of asset prices under ambiguity

نویسنده

  • Michael Mandler
چکیده

If agents are ambiguity-averse and can invest in productive assets, asset prices can robustly exhibit indeterminacy in the markets that open after the productive investment has been launched. For indeterminacy to occur, the aggregate supply of goods must appear in precise configurations, but the investment levels that generate these supplies arise systematically. That indeterminacy arises only at a knifeedge set of aggregate supplies allows for a simple explanation of the volatility of asset prices: small changes in supplies necessarily lead to a large price response.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Indeterminacy and Asset Price Volatility in Stochastic Overlapping Generations Models∗

This paper addresses the e ects of indeterminacy on the volatility of asset prices in a stochastic overlapping generations model with 3-period lived agents. With complete markets, indeterminacy is characterized by the initial conditions and all equilibria converge to one of the deterministic steady states in the long run. With incomplete markets, the degree of indeterminacy is countably innite....

متن کامل

Krannert School of Management

This paper addresses the e ects of indeterminacy on the volatility of asset prices in a stochastic overlapping generations model with 3-period lived agents. With complete markets, the only indeterminacy is due to the selection of initial conditions for the economy. As with deterministic economies, the equilibrium set converges to the steady state in the long run. With incomplete markets, not on...

متن کامل

Asset Prices, Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Stability

A focal point of macroeconomic policy analysis over the past decade has been whether central banks should respond to changes in asset prices. This thesis addresses the question from the distinct perspective of equilibrium determinacy. By obtaining the conditions for equilibrium determinacy, it is possible to ascertain whether a central bank could induce additional volatility in an economy by ad...

متن کامل

Ambiguity in Asset Pricing and Portfolio Choice: A Review of the Literature

A growing body of empirical evidence suggests that investors’ behavior is not well described by the traditional paradigm of (subjective) expected utility maximization under rational expectations. A literature has arisen that models agents whose choices are consistent with models that are less restrictive than the standard subjective expected utility framework. In this paper we conduct a survey ...

متن کامل

Properties of Equilibrium Asset Prices Under Alternative Learning Schemes

This paper characterizes equilibrium asset prices under adaptive, rational and Bayesian learning schemes in a model where dividends evolve on a binomial lattice. The properties of equilibrium stock and bond prices under learning are shown to differ significantly. Learning causes the discount factor and risk-neutral probability measure to become path-dependent and introduces serial correlation a...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2013